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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

HEREFORD vs. NEWPORT COUNTY
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Hereford's and Newport County's ELO scores.


  Hereford   Newport County  
  Current ELO Score: 3083.4   3443.2  
  Best ELO Score: 3777.9  
Saturday, September 4, 1976  
3779.8  
Monday, April 4, 1983  
  Worst ELO Score: 2756.8  
Friday, December 26, 2014  
2980.4  
Saturday, January 7, 2006  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Hereford and Newport County.

 Venue Played Hereford
wins
Draws Newport County
wins
Hereford
goals
Newport County
goals
Hereford
SR%
Newport County
SR%
 TOTAL 19 4 2 13 15 39 26.3% 73.7%
 HOME 10 3 1 6 10 17 35.0% 65.0%
 AWAY 9 1 1 7 5 22 16.7% 83.3%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
5 MAR 2013 CONF Hereford United  
(3412)  
2 - 3   Newport County
  (3402)
11.5
28 AUG 2012 CONF Newport County  
(3338)  
2 - 0   Hereford United
  (3472)
18.9
26 DEC 1987 LGE Hereford United  
(3438)  
4 - 2   Newport County
  (3338)
7.6
27 SEP 1987 LGE Newport County  
(3415)  
0 - 0   Hereford United
  (3410)
2.7
12 AUG 1980 CUP Newport County  
(3588)  
5 - 0   Hereford United
  (3412)
6.8
9 AUG 1980 CUP Hereford United  
(3400)  
1 - 0   Newport County
  (3601)
12.9
7 APR 1980 LGE Hereford United  
(3415)  
0 - 2   Newport County
  (3594)
11.8
1 JAN 1980 LGE Newport County  
(3551)  
1 - 0   Hereford United
  (3405)
3.8
11 APR 1979 LGE Newport County  
(3532)  
4 - 1   Hereford United
  (3483)
10.2
22 DEC 1978 LGE Hereford United  
(3499)  
0 - 3   Newport County
  (3438)
25.3
25 NOV 1978 CUP Hereford United  
(3522)  
0 - 1   Newport County
  (3419)
15.4
7 APR 1973 LGE Hereford United  
(3576)  
2 - 0   Newport County
  (3571)
10.6
28 NOV 1972 LGE Newport County  
(3507)  
0 - 1   Hereford United
  (3483)
13.4
6 DEC 1969 CUP Newport County  
(3426)  
2 - 1   Hereford United
  (3296)
4.1
18 NOV 1963 CUP Newport County  
(3442)  
4 - 0   Hereford United
  (3268)
6.3
16 NOV 1963 CUP Hereford United  
(3266)  
1 - 1   Newport County
  (3444)
2.1
14 NOV 1959 CUP Newport County  
(3634)  
4 - 2   Hereford United
  (3286)
2.1
6 DEC 1958 CUP Hereford United  
(3294)  
0 - 2   Newport County
  (3585)
7.7
9 DEC 1950 CUP Hereford United  
(3216)  
0 - 3   Newport County
  (3534)
7.6